Great analysis! Why are they so focused on Gemini though? When Google DeepMind won a noble prize and probably have the best AI team at this moment. They've got the best potential now so how come they don't lead with that narrative instead of Gemini?
wait you think winning a Nobel Prize means people will actually use your product?google's problem isn't the tech. it's that nobody wakes up thinking "i need to ask gemini something"
The incentive misalignment point is critical. I saw this happen at a differnet tech company where protecting legacy revenue streams killed innovation. What's wild is that OpenAI can charge $20/month precisely because they don't have a $200B search ad business to protect. Sometimes having less baggage is the real competetive advantage, not more distribution.
Great analysis! Why are they so focused on Gemini though? When Google DeepMind won a noble prize and probably have the best AI team at this moment. They've got the best potential now so how come they don't lead with that narrative instead of Gemini?
wait you think winning a Nobel Prize means people will actually use your product?google's problem isn't the tech. it's that nobody wakes up thinking "i need to ask gemini something"
I meant, I wonder why Google are emphasising Gemini when they have so much other success in AI
What's the evidence behind the claim that people try Gemini, and then churn to ChatGPT and other competitors?
yeah I'd also like to see literally any data on this
because "gemini has high churn" so users moving either to anthropic or openai
The incentive misalignment point is critical. I saw this happen at a differnet tech company where protecting legacy revenue streams killed innovation. What's wild is that OpenAI can charge $20/month precisely because they don't have a $200B search ad business to protect. Sometimes having less baggage is the real competetive advantage, not more distribution.
EXACTLY
google's "advantage" is actually an anchor:
can't disrupt search because ads
can't price aggressively because cloud margins
can't move fast because antitrust
can't take risks because shareholders
meanwhile openai:
no legacy revenue to protect
can burn VC money on R&D
can price at $20 because they're not optimizing for profit yet
can experiment wildly because they have nothing to lose